Study on Regional Growth Analysis of Sugarcane Production in Uttar Pradesh

Abstract

Considerable work has been done in Uttar Pradesh and elsewhere in the country on incidence of sugarcane crop and its production, studies under growth analysis of sugarcane crop in Uttar Pradesh are very limited, as such the present study is undertaken for growth analysis of sugarcane crop on different four regions of the state and the state as whole to examine the trends, growth rate in area, production andproductivity of sugarcane in the state, its impact on change in cropping pattern and identifying the constraints responsible for slow growth of sugarcane in Uttar Pradesh. The study is based on secondary data of area, production and productivity of sugarcane crop grown in four regions of different agro economic region of the state and was conducted from the period of 1985-86 to 2015-16. It is evident from the study,that the linear and compound growth rates of area under sugarcane increased by 1.11and1.12 percent in the state during phase I. The growth rate in area was estimated at 1.71 and 1.37 percent in phase II. In phase III, both models recorded growth rate of 0.41 and 0.31 percent. The overall compound growth rate of area in the state stood at 1.14 percent per annum. Across the regions highest growth rate was found in central region (2.47 %) followed by Bundelkhand, Eastern and western region. The linear growth rate of sugarcane production in U.P. was highest (3.84 %) in phase I and lowest in second phase (0.92%).The overall compound growth rate in sugarcane production of the state was 1.71 percent per annum. The highest growth rate (3.46 %) was observed in phase I and lowest (0.62 %) in phase II. Across regions highest growth rate was found in Central and lowest in Western region. The linear and compound growth ratesin productivity of state were positively increased in all phases except phase II in which they were negatively increased by (-0.87) and (-0.74) percent per annum. The overall compound growth rate was observed highest in Eastern and lowest in Bundelkhand region. The relative contribution of change in cropping pattern in state level in area shows that area under sugarcane was increasing but at a decreasing rate, in phase I the area increased by 29.37 percent, phase II was 10.17 percent and phase III was 7.91 percent. The decomposition analysis showed positive area increase in all the regions and state as whole in the first phase. The interaction effect was observed positive in all the regions in phase I except for Bundelkhand region. The variability in area, production and productivity of sugarcane in a state as a whole was highest in phase I and II, recording 5.94, 11.13 and 7.30 percent, respectively.Lastlyopinion survey was conducted with sugarcane growers, number of constraints viz., fertility of the soil, lack of labour and high wages, delayed payments, delayed harvesting etc. were observed. Lackof labour and high wages was the most prominent problem among production constraints and delayed payment among the marketing constraints.